JP Morgan Guide to the Markets Q4 2018

Good Morning,

Attached is the updated JP Morgan Guide to the Markets piece. Below are some of the more timely graphics.

S&P 500 EPS Growth: remains strong, driven mostly by margin expansion

Underperformance of Value vs. Growth: value has drastically underperformed, driven largely by lag in financials

GDP Components: Consumption is the main driver of GDP and its growth

GDP Growth: YoY expansion is now greater than long term average and the recent expansion average

Nominal vs. Real Yields: with 10-year yields remaining relatively flat, inflation increases reducing real yields

Barclays Agg and Returns: similar to CAPE, outlook of returns based on current bond yields

Global Equity Markets: drastic difference between 2017 & 2018

Peter Malone, CFA

Research Analyst

Direct: 617.226.0030

Fax: 617.523.8118

Crestwood Advisors

One Liberty Square

Suite 500

Boston, MA 02109

www.crestwoodadvisors.com

JPM Guide to Markets Q4 2018.docx.pdf