Berkshire Hathaway Q4 2020 annual report

On 2/27, Berkshire Hathaway reported their 2020 Q4 results.  Annual results are accompanied by Warren Buffett’s letter to shareholders (attached), which lacked the usual news-worthy disclosures or sage market advice.   Key takeaways from the quarter and year are as follows:

  • Buffett sizably increased share buybacks to $8.97b, which is more than he has ever bought bringing the total buyback for the year to $24.7b reducing share count by 5.2%.
  • Cash on books remained steady at $138B. 
  • Cash and stock portfolio represent over 50% of the company’s value.
  • Sum of the parts valuation shows 25% upside

 

Current Price: $252                         Price Target: $300 (raised from $280)

Position Size: 3.0%                          TTM Performance: 34.4%

 

Segment highlights from the quarter:

  • Geico earnings more than doubled on lower loss ratio
  • Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance continues to struggle with $-2.7b in losses
  • Low interest rates highlight Berkshire’s competitive advantage of an investment portfolio being invested primarily in equities and being less dependent on bond market yields
  • Railroads – YoY revenue fell -11.3% and earnings fell -5.8% with pandemic slowdowns
  • Berkshire energy – YoY revenue up 4.5% and earnings up 8.8%
  • Manufacturing, service and retail – Profits fell -14% due to pandemic
  • $11b write down of Precision Castparts purchased in 2016.  They sell many parts to the aerospace industry

 

Stock portfolio highlights:

  • Investment in Apple is worth $120b
  • Since 2019 Berkshire has cut allocation to finance stocks from 41% to 24%
  • Dumped airline stocks
  • Latest filing shows
    • Added Verizon which is now 6th largest holding
    • Added Chevron

 

Valuation:  Berkshire is selling at a 25% discount to intrinsic value using sum of the parts.  Their cash of $138b represents $57 per share for B shares. 

 

Berkshire remains a core holding, is currently undervalued and is defensively positioned to take advantage of opportunities as they arise.

 

Please let me know if you have any questions.

 

Thanks,

John

 

($brk/b.us)

 

 

John R. Ingram CFA

Chief Investment Officer

Partner

 

Direct: 617.226.0021

Fax: 617.523.8118

 

Crestwood Advisors

One Liberty Square

Suite 500

Boston, MA 02109

www.crestwoodadvisors.com